A practical guide to outguessing everything from multiple-choice tests to the office football pool to the stock market. People are predictable even when they try not to be. William Poundstone demonstrates how to turn this fact to personal advantage in scores of everyday situations, from playing the lottery to buying a home. Rock Breaks Scissors is mind-reading for real life.
Will the next tennis serve go right or left? Will the market go up or down? Most people are poor at that kind of predicting. We are hard-wired to make bum bets on "trends" and "winning streaks" that are illusions. Yet ultimately we're all in the business of anticipating the actions of others. Poundstone reveals how to overcome the errors and improve the accuracy of your own outguessing. Rock Breaks Scissors is a hands-on guide to turning life's odds in your favor.
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Very dry but worth the read
This book may prove a struggle to stick with. Given the topics, the author has done well. There are a few annoying "look at this graph" references but you aren't completely lost without being able to see them. There are some little gems of useful information and some scary stuff too (for example, the chapter on passwords). Definitely not for everyone, but some unique information in this books makes it worth the buy.
Strong start but loses its way in the middle.
Nothing here that a good editor couldn't make better
I would but only if he stays on the topic
- Stephen Lovich