The Calm Before the Storm

  • by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, Gregory F. Treverton
  • Narrated by Kevin Stillwell
  • 0 hrs and 27 mins
  • Periodical

Publisher's Summary

Instead of trying to predict "Black Swan" events such as coups or crises, forecasters should look at how political systems handle disorder. The best indicator of a country's future trajectory is not a lengthy past stability, but recent moderate volatility.


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Customer Reviews

Most Helpful

Fine Taleb, but repeats some themes in other books

If you are widely read in Taleb's work, there are few surprises here. I pretty avidly snap up whatever he writes, but I had seen such things as his praise of city-states elsewhere. There seems a slight advance in his mapping of fragilities on a wider scale, compared with his prior works.
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- Phil O.


I loved it. Very well explained. Nassim at his best with risk on a global scale
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- Z_izm

Book Details

  • Release Date: 01-16-2015
  • Publisher: Foreign Affairs